Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 8 Nov 2024. Before it settled, the high was 51.5% on 8 Nov 2024 and the low 0.1% on 15 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 0.1% on 15 Nov 2024. $114.87K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 16, 7:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 8 points · 8 Nov 2024 – 15 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2024 | 51.5% |
| 15 Nov 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 39.62K |
| SolanaSnowballs | Yes | 9.59K |
| FCSDFCSA | Yes | 225 |
| FDSFDSFCAD | Yes | 221 |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | Yes | 55 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 10 |
| Twizzler | Yes | 10 |
| GHJKGHKHJL | Yes | 0.07 |
| XCVDFSZDF | Yes | 0.06 |
| Reasonable-Nose | Yes | 0.06 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Ben Carson for US Secretary of Health and Human Services by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-nominate-for-hhs-secretary
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