Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 28 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 28 Mar 2026 to 1 May 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 7.5% on 28 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 May 2026. $7.92K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 8:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 28 Mar 2026 – 1 May 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2026 | 7.5% |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Tide 215D | Yes | 146.99 |
| Hungry-Timber | Yes | 139.63 |
| daroghi | Yes | 60 |
| ra5tadark | Yes | 51.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-mobile-release-a-phone-by
| Irritating-Keeper | Yes | 31.83 |
| Azure Horizon B075 | Yes | 31.25 |
| matinantiapuestawinneraura67 | Yes | 30.3 |
| Colala | Yes | 30 |
| val111 | Yes | 12.5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 10 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
