Analytics
Resolved Yes on 26 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 37.5%. Yes opened at 30% on 25 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2024 to 26 Oct 2024, the highest close was 37.5% on 26 Oct 2024 and the lowest 30% on 25 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points up, to 37.5% on 26 Oct 2024. $10.06K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 5:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 25 Oct 2024 – 26 Oct 2024, chart shows 25%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2024 | 30.0% |
| 26 Oct 2024 | 37.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| guitrestickchi1978 | No | 0.09 |
| alexandrinia | Yes | 0.08 |
| kaisersch | Yes | 0.05 |
| Myname3 | No | 0.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says the name of 8 or more unique US states (e.g. "Texas", "Alabama", "New York", etc.) during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the name of a state regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count (e.g. "Texan", "Alabaman", "New Yorker", etc. would NOT count). Compound words will count as long as the mentioned state is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to that mentioned state. If a state is mentioned multiple times, it will not qualify as multiple states mentioned (i.e. if Trump says "Texas" 5 times and "Alabama" 3 times, it will only count as 2 states mentioned). If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-mention-8-or-more-states-during-rogan-interview
| RosyP | Yes | 0.03 |
| AgentLex | Yes | 0.02 |
| betzzz | Yes | 0.01 |
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