Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 10 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 84 daily closes on record from 10 May 2025 to 1 Aug 2025, the highest close was 47% on 12 May 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 34% on 26 May 2025. $281.39K traded over the market's life.
93 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 12:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 84 points, 10 May 2025 – 1 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 May 2025 | 41.5% |
| 1 Aug 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bluto | Yes | 1.34K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 413 |
| WinOne | No | 351.23 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with the Bishop of Rome between May 9 and July 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Pope Leo XIV are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-meet-pope-leo-xiv-before-august
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 249.97 |
| BorislavWild | Yes | 222.22 |
| Deep.Blue | Yes | 200 |
| lvl0023 | Yes | 172.54 |
| Williepim | Yes | 149.79 |
| BreezyBuckaroo | No | 120.26 |
| n0stradamus124 | Yes | 100 |
