Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 22 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 45.5% on 26 Jul 2025 and the low 0.4% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 45.5% on 26 Jul 2025. $22.68K traded over the market's life.
63 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 165 points, 22 Jul 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2025 | 23.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| EEbets | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 254 |
| yanpanlang | Yes | 253.33 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) buys any amount of Ethereum, either directly or through a subsidiary, between July 21, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be announcements through official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-media-purchase-ethereum-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 226 |
| FunkyMonkey | Yes | 184.89 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 173 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 165 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 162 |
| Trouty | Yes | 85.19 |
| RealTima | Yes | 64.2 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
