Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 14.5% on 30 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2025 to 1 Mar 2025, the highest close was 14.5% on 30 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 8% on 31 Jan 2025. $19.46K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 1, 6:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 30 Jan 2025 – 1 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2025 | 14.5% |
| 1 Mar 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cons1 | Yes | 311.34 |
| woshiLimpeh | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) recently announced it would launch Truth.Fi, a financial services platform with plans to buy cryptocurrencies and other, more traditional assets. You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/ee0edda4-fca6-4c1e-bc66-d21ec7302690 This market will resolve to "Yes" if TMTG buys any amount of $TRUMP (https://solscan.io/token/6p6xgHyF7AeE6TZkSmFsko444wqoP15icUSqi2jfGiPN), either directly or through a subsidiary, between January 28, and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be announcements through official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-media-invest-in-trump-before-march
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