Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Apr 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95.6%. Yes opened at 50% on 26 Mar 2024. Before it settled, the high was 95.6% on 2 Apr 2024 and the low 50% on 26 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 94% on 27 Mar 2024. $36.7K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 26 Mar 2024 – 2 Apr 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2024 | 50.0% |
| 2 Apr 2024 | 95.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| iioooiii | No | 3K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Donald Trump was hit with a $454 million penalty as a consequence of a civil fraud case brought against him by the State of New York. This bond was reduced, and the deadline to make bond extended, however until now he has been unable to post bond. This market will resolve to "Yes" if ex-president Donald J. Trump makes bond in this case by April 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If his bond requirement is completely waived (that is - he is no longer required to post bond by any future date), this market will also resolve to “Yes”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-make-bond-by-april-4
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