Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 50% on 5 Apr 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 5 Apr 2025 and the low 0.4% on 7 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 49 points down, to 0.9% on 6 Apr 2025. $54.95K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 11, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 6 points · 5 Apr 2025 – 10 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2025 | 50.0% |
| 10 Apr 2025 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 14.51K |
| Fartard | Yes | 2.05K |
| x.y.z | Yes | 14.23 |
| keling8 | No | 0.03 |
| Karekken | No | 0.03 |
| split | No | 0.02 |
| shushu8 | No | 0.02 |
| nonnon | No | 0.01 |
| JDULIA | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the first listed country which Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that lowers, pauses, delays, or removes any tariffs on imports on. If Trump does not lower tariffs on any listed country by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by July 31". Only listed countries will qualify. If Trump lowers tariffs on multiple listed countries simultaneously, this market will resolve in favor of whichever country’s listed names comes first alphabetically. Actions that lower, pause, delay, or remove any tariffs on imports from the listed country will qualify, including changes to the reciprocal tariff, item specific tariffs, or any other existing or new tariffs specifically targeting imports from the listed country. Only the removal of tariffs specifically targeting the listed country will qualify. For example, the removal of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S., or a tariff on specific provinces provinces or entities, will not count toward this market’s resolution. Any action officially enacted within the market’s time frame will qualify, regardless of when the change goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-country-will-trump-lower-tariffs-on-first
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