Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 59.5% on 17 Apr 2025. Before it settled, the high was 97.5% on 18 Jun 2025 and the low 1.9% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 5.3% on 31 Dec 2025. $57.2K traded over the market's life.
106 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 261 points · 17 Apr 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Apr 2025 | 59.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 1.9% |
This is a market on whether Trump will reduce tariffs on Canada by a specified date.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-lower-tariffs-on-canada-by
| alivip | Yes | 200 |
| Vivid-Normalization | Yes | 125.65 |
| Lozer | No | 122.22 |
| BSbets | No | 116.53 |
| AllByMyseIf | Yes | 103 |
| RylexOff | No | 99.69 |
| bischl | Yes | 59.74 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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