Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.2%. Yes opened at 35.5% on 1 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 128 daily closes on record from 1 Mar 2025 to 6 Jul 2025, the highest close was 37.3% on 20 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 2 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 15.7% on 21 Apr 2025. $14.14K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 6, 4:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 128 points, 1 Mar 2025 – 6 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2025 | 35.5% |
| 6 Jul 2025 | 1.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 471.33 |
| atomato | Yes | 142.02 |
| pierceheaven | Yes | 117.65 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially launches an NFT project between February 28 and June 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Only NFT projects that are confirmed to have been launched by Donald Trump, either through posts from his official social media channels or otherwise confirmed by public statements, will qualify. The resolution source will official statements from Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-launch-an-nft
| Yes |
| 33.55 |
| cassandro | No | 30.87 |
| Liveisbrutal | Yes | 30.5 |
| aobai | Yes | 27.42 |
| s33091 | Yes | 22.73 |
| Neat-Narrative | Yes | 17.66 |
| Matthias | Yes | 12.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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