Will Trump issue an executive order on February 28?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 2, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$64.0K

Resolved

Settled

Mar 2, 2025 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved No on 2 Mar 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 56% on 27 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 27 Feb 2025 to 2 Mar 2025, the highest close was 56% on 27 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 2 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 0.2% on 2 Mar 2025. $64.01K traded over the market's life.

5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 3, 2:00 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 27 Feb 2025 – 2 Mar 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
27 Feb 2025	56.0%
2 Mar 2025	0.2%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
DonaldLucky	Yes	149.76
needmoneyforsativa	Yes	63.45
Fartard	Yes	36.84
KimbalMusk	Yes	20

5 of 5 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No” In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).