Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 11 Apr 2025. Before it settled, the high was 13.5% on 11 Apr 2025 and the low 0.4% on 19 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 7.5% on 12 Apr 2025. $17.02K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 5, 7:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 11 Apr 2025 – 19 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Apr 2025 | 13.5% |
| 19 Apr 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| guywiththis | Yes | 142 |
| Karekken | No | 0.01 |
| JDULIA | No | 0.01 |
| aidentika | No | 0.01 |
| SuARas | No | 0.01 |
| kimilili | No | 0.01 |
| split | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by April 18, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-issue-a-gold-card-by-next-friday
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