Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 86.1%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 9 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 16% on 10 Jan 2025 and the low 6.5% on 16 Jan 2025. $323.68K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 5:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 9 Jan 2025 – 21 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2025 | 15.5% |
| 21 Jan 2025 | 13.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 113.35K |
| bigtex | Yes | 16.94K |
| TrashMan | Yes | 28.57 |
| bma | Yes | 0.02 |
| pmmtest | Yes | 0.01 |
| duderr | Yes | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump as US President issues and signs between 10 (inclusive) and 14 (inclusive) executive orders on January 20, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 20, 2025 will count for this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-executive-orders-will-trump-issue-on-day-1
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