Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Apr 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 94%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 22 Apr 2023. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2023 to 30 Apr 2023 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.5% on 26 Apr 2023 and the lowest 44.5% on 22 Apr 2023. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 93.5% on 24 Apr 2023. $2K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 5:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 22 Apr 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2023 | 44.5% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ivory Voyager 9203 | No | 12.2K |
| Jade Atlas 64FA | No | 360.87 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's Twitter account (@realDonaldTrump) has a Blue checkmark on April 30, 2023, 12:00:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump's Twitter account (https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The Polymarket market description may be referenced as memorialization.
Resolution source: https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-have-a-blue-checkmark-on-april-30
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