Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 19 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 19 Jan 2025 to 1 Feb 2025, the highest close was 11.5% on 19 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.6 points down, to 5.9% on 20 Jan 2025. $133.13K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 8:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 19 Jan 2025 – 1 Feb 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2025 | 11.5% |
| 1 Feb 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 50.93K |
| ebosh.papa | Yes | 3.8K |
| zxzxcy11 | Yes | 1.94K |
| Nyt | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the $TRUMP 1 minute candle for February 1, 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” FDV of between $5,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $10,000,000,000 (exclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be 1 minute price candles for $TRUMP available at https://dexscreener.com/solana/a8nphpcjqtqhdquk35uj9hy2ysgxfkczgunwvkd3k7vc, viewed by clicking Price and 1m on the top row of the chart, when multiplied by the total supply.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-fdv-on-february-1
| Siziriv | Yes | 985 |
| mdfnlshts | Yes | 806.17 |
| Lesterino | Yes | 323.59 |
| H4tran | Yes | 139.13 |
| bonokl | Yes | 110 |
| karapi | Yes | 101 |
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