Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 33.5% on 7 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 361 daily closes on record from 7 Jan 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 35.5% on 21 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 35.5% on 21 Jan 2025. $97.86K traded over the market's life.
78 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 361 points, 7 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2025 | 33.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Gl1tch | Yes | 2.29K |
| 19283746 | Yes | 1.29K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 530 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the maximum individual tax rate below 37% at any point between January 19 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-extend-tax-cut-on-high-earners
New to prediction markets?
| Evil-Headlight | Yes | 277.78 |
| Circular-Paramecium | Yes | 255 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 247 |
| JoseStrickland4151 | Yes | 232 |
| nikita1 | Yes | 200.75 |
| FrosenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 200.64 |
| nicnic | Yes | 178.57 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
