Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 10% on 27 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 125 daily closes on record from 27 Dec 2024 to 30 Apr 2025, the highest close was 10% on 27 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Apr 2025. $85K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 125 points, 27 Dec 2024 – 30 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2024 | 10.0% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 2.2K |
| LeXef | Yes | 833.33 |
| polyiknow | Yes | 479.94 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action eliminating the H-1B visa or otherwise suspending/prohibiting employment via the H-1B visa (even if temporarily) by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Reducing the cap on H-1b visa recipients will not count - this market pertains to eliminating/suspending the H-1b visa altogether. This market will still resolve to "Yes" even if courts later block the relevant action(s). Any legislation or executive action officially enacted within the market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the changes take effect. If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to sign such legislation or perform executive action (e.g., he resigns, or is no longer in office), this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the US government, including federal records of signed legislation and executive actions. A consensus of credible reporting will also be used as necessary.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-eliminate-h-1b-visa-in-first-100-days
| Yes |
| 200 |
| BeefCurry | Yes | 159.03 |
| ttling | Yes | 142.86 |
| ThuhBee | Yes | 116.67 |
| metafoxprediction | Yes | 100 |
| SOSA | Yes | 53.62 |
| ascii | Yes | 52.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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