Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Apr 2026.
$13.34K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 19, 1:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 17 Apr 2026, chart shows 68%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Apr 2026 | 74.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Crib | No | 960.04 |
| Famous-Ambition | No | 328.34 |
| Jade Pulse 30D3 | No | 299 |
| 09F911029D74 | No | 200 |
| Omarfa3 | No | 194.08 |
| hausdorff | No | 170.43 |
| Rural-Carter | No | 101.06 |
| daroghi | No | 51.91 |
| Lavincey | No | 46.84 |
| Tchoupii24 | No | 37.32 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Turning Point USA event in Arizona on April 17, 2026. (https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/president-donald-trump-visit-phoenix-april-turning-point-usa-event). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Turning Point USA event in Arizona on April 17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-dance-during-tpusa-event-on-april-17
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