Will Trump comment on immigration debate today?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 28, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$18.0K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 28, 2024 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved No on 28 Dec 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 92%. Yes opened at 14% on 27 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 27 Dec 2024 to 28 Dec 2024, the highest close was 14% on 27 Dec 2024 and the lowest 8% on 28 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 8% on 28 Dec 2024. $18.04K traded over the market's life.

11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 29, 7:15 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 27 Dec 2024 – 28 Dec 2024, chart shows 6%–16%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
27 Dec 2024	14.0%
28 Dec 2024	8.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Macfried	Yes	229.91
ricksatthemetgala	Yes	60
Speccy1234	Yes	25.64
xmu72590	Yes	10

10 of 11 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if US President-elect Donald Trump issues a public statement about the current immigration debate surrounding skilled, legal foreign workers between December 26, 2024, 2:00 PM ET and December 27, 2024, 11:59 PM ET (see https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1871978282289082585). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying statements must be issued by Trump, his social media accounts, or statements made to media outlets. Trump does not need to explicitly mention the H-1B visa so long as it's clear a statement references the ongoing debate about skilled, legal foreign worker immigration vs. American workers (see tweets such as https://x.com/NikkiHaley/status/1872344248915554712, https://x.com/VivekGRamaswamy/status/1872312139945234507, https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1871956518213656728, etc.). Statements solely about illegal immigration (e.g. via southern border) will not count. For the purposes of this market, a public statement includes any social media post (e.g. via https://x.com/potus) or public statements (e.g. a comment to the press, a speech given at an event). The primary resolution source will be the qualifying statement itself, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.