Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Apr 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.6% on 21 Feb 2024. Before it settled, the high was 2.5% on 22 Feb 2024 and the low 0.1% on 1 Apr 2024. $778.18K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 42 points · 21 Feb 2024 – 2 Apr 2024 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2024 | 1.6% |
| 2 Apr 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump is Speaker of the House in the US Congress for any length of time by April 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve to "No" once the end date has passed and Trump has not been Speaker of the House for any length of time. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-be-speaker-by-april-1
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