Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 44%. Yes opened at 72.5% on 11 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 11 Jul 2026 to 15 Jul 2026, the highest close was 72.5% on 11 Jul 2026 and the lowest 29.5% on 14 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 35.5% on 12 Jul 2026. $251.99 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 16, 7:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 11 Jul 2026 – 15 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2026 | 72.5% |
| 15 Jul 2026 | 44.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rocketcrypto | No | 4.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Lemonade Stand Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Wednesday. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast posted on YouTube. Any video posted to the channel https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast with the words "Lemonade Stand" in the title will qualify. If no such episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast is aired by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released episode from (https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast). For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-said-on-the-next-lemonade-stand-podcast-july-15-20260709163957166
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