Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.7%. Yes opened at 76% on 30 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 67 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2023 to 5 Mar 2024, the highest close was 99.7% on 5 Mar 2024 and the lowest 48% on 8 Feb 2024. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 48% on 8 Feb 2024. $121.02K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Mar 6, 8:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 67 points, 30 Dec 2023 – 5 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2023 | 76.0% |
| 5 Mar 2024 | 99.7% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump appears on the official ballot for the 2024 Maine Republican Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Write-ins will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". Only if the ballots officially issued list Donald Trump as an option will this market resolve to "Yes", regardless of any court ruling about whether he can appear on the ballot or not. The primary resolution source will be information from the Maine Republican Party and the 2024 Maine Republican Primary, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-appear-on-maine-primary-ballot
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