Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 26 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 26 Jun 2024 to 28 Jun 2024, the highest close was 12.5% on 26 Jun 2024 and the lowest 0.6% on 28 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 6.9 points down, to 0.6% on 28 Jun 2024. $19.72K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 29, 4:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 26 Jun 2024 – 28 Jun 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jun 2024 | 12.5% |
| 28 Jun 2024 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Drew9999 | Yes | 277.78 |
| dirkdiggler | Yes | 157.89 |
| bittlousy09 | Yes | 66.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump announces his pick to be his Vice-Presidential running mate before the start of the Presidential debate scheduled for June 27, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If the debate is canceled or postponed beyond June 27, 2024, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Trump, or official information from his campaign.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-announce-vp-pick-before-the-debate
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
