Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 85.7%. Yes opened at 67% on 28 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 28 Mar 2025 to 3 Apr 2025, the highest close was 85.7% on 3 Apr 2025 and the lowest 62% on 29 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 85.7% on 3 Apr 2025. $19.68K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 4, 8:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 28 Mar 2025 – 3 Apr 2025, chart shows 50%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2025 | 67.0% |
| 3 Apr 2025 | 85.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Royal Kestrel D32D | No | 895 |
| Amber Quasar BA7D | No | 525 |
| Golden Lynx 4402 | No | 155 |
| 10000dollar | No | 42.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the U.S. government will impose any new or increased tariffs on the listed country on April 2, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially announced within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of if/when the tariff goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting a named country will qualify. For example, a tariff on the European Union would not count for France. Likewise, a global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the US) will not count toward this market's resolution. Announcements that tariffs which were previously delayed will go into effect, including the March 4 tariffs on Canada and Mexico, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a “secondary tariff” on countries purchasing from a listed country will qualify solely for the origin country unless the purchasing country is explicitly named. For example, a tariff on any country purchasing oil from Venezuela will qualify the market for Venezuela to resolve “Yes” but will not count as a tariff on the countries purchasing Venezuelan oil unless they are explicitly named. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-trump-tariff-on-april-2
| Swift Harbor EFBF | No | 15 |
| Crimson Sphinx 3301 | No | 15 |
| Ivory Ledger 568C | No | 10 |
| Silver Signal 3CDD | No | 10 |
| Bold Meteor 8CE2 | No | 10 |
| Amber Signal 785D | No | 10 |
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