Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 73% on 28 Mar 2025. Before it settled, the high was 99.5% on 3 Apr 2025 and the low 67.5% on 29 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 99.5% on 3 Apr 2025. $132.36K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 4, 4:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 28 Mar 2025 – 3 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2025 | 73.0% |
| 3 Apr 2025 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crimson Orbit 3A54 | No | 870 |
| Lunar Comet A27C | No | 290 |
| Ivory Comet 4912 | No | 270 |
| Solar Lynx 0D1F | No | 240 |
| Rapid Voyager 28B9 | No | 15 |
| Golden Signal A5B0 | No | 15 |
| Cobalt Signal 527E | No | 15 |
| Amber Pulse 43F3 | No | 10 |
| Lunar Raven 05C6 | No | 10 |
| Cosmic Vector 0FAB | No | 10 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the U.S. government will impose any new or increased tariffs on the listed country on April 2, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially announced within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of if/when the tariff goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting a named country will qualify. For example, a tariff on the European Union would not count for France. Likewise, a global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the US) will not count toward this market's resolution. Announcements that tariffs which were previously delayed will go into effect, including the March 4 tariffs on Canada and Mexico, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a “secondary tariff” on countries purchasing from a listed country will qualify solely for the origin country unless the purchasing country is explicitly named. For example, a tariff on any country purchasing oil from Venezuela will qualify the market for Venezuela to resolve “Yes” but will not count as a tariff on the countries purchasing Venezuelan oil unless they are explicitly named. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-trump-tariff-on-april-2
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