Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 27 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 129 daily closes on record from 27 Aug 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 27 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 19 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 17% on 28 Aug 2025. $35.69K traded over the market's life.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 129 points, 27 Aug 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2025 | 49.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 17.74K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 2.04K |
| Delirious-Cure | Yes | 1K |
Donald Trump recently announced he was firing Lisa D. Cook from her position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors: https://apnews.com/article/federal-reserve-lisa-cook-trump-6fca3d2fbb54ba204cc91398e6a7b020 This market will resolve to according the next individual Donald Trump nominates or announces as a nominee to become a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors between August 26, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If Donald Trump does not announce nominee for Fed Governor within this market's timeframe, it will resolve to "No announcement by December 31". This market will resolve based on the first individual trump nominates within the established timeframe. The announcement of a specific nominee will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether that individual is later officially nominated. The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pick-as-fed-gov
| Yes |
| 765 |
| Guilty-Basis | Yes | 500 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 343 |
| Marioss | Yes | 333.33 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 262 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 254.96 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 241 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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