Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.2%. Yes opened at 14.5% on 14 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 97 daily closes on record from 14 May 2026 to 19 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 14.5% on 14 May 2026 and the lowest 2.4% on 15 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 2.4% on 15 May 2026. $6.71K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 20, 1:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 97 points, 14 May 2026 – 19 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 May 2026 | 14.5% |
| 19 Aug 2026 | 3.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.66K |
| akko123 | Yes | 300 |
| shiifoo | Yes | 240.87 |
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commissioner
| Yes |
| 150 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 149.99 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 109.01 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 100 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 100 |
| 57dfgfdg | Yes | 58.42 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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