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Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 27 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 27 Aug 2025 and the low 0.1% on 22 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 8% on 28 Aug 2025. $173.44K traded over the market's life.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 129 points, 27 Aug 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2025 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 17.74K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 3.73K |
| 75754255425 | Yes | 1K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Donald Trump recently announced he was firing Lisa D. Cook from her position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors: https://apnews.com/article/federal-reserve-lisa-cook-trump-6fca3d2fbb54ba204cc91398e6a7b020 This market will resolve to according the next individual Donald Trump nominates or announces as a nominee to become a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors between August 26, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If Donald Trump does not announce nominee for Fed Governor within this market's timeframe, it will resolve to "No announcement by December 31". This market will resolve based on the first individual trump nominates within the established timeframe. The announcement of a specific nominee will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether that individual is later officially nominated. The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pick-as-fed-gov
| Yes |
| 892.33 |
| Delirious-Cure | Yes | 796.14 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 701.52 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 378 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 343 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 253.31 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 241 |
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