Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 5% on 2 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 2 Aug 2025 to 8 Aug 2025, the highest close was 5% on 2 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 8 Aug 2025. $1.14K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 9, 12:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 2 Aug 2025 – 8 Aug 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2025 | 5.0% |
| 8 Aug 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.32K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 656 |
| montty | Yes | 110 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 42.32 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to according the individual Donald Trump announces as his nominee to fill Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler's chair. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for this position by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by December 31". An announcement of Trump's nominee to fill this position will be sufficient to immediately resolve this market, regardless of whether that individual ultimately is confirmed. The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-announce-to-replace-kugler
| Pollyna | Yes | 35 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
