Analytics
Resolved No on 15 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 0.7% on 13 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 13 May 2026 to 15 May 2026, the price held at 0.7%. $3.05M traded over the market's life.
515 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 16, 9:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 13 May 2026 – 15 May 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 May 2026 | 0.7% |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| yen4u | Yes | 88.4K |
| Wimmerr | Yes | 72.17K |
| yoyoyo1234 | Yes | 31.19K |
| Nifty-Consumer | Yes | 29.2K |
| KennyDaddy | Yes | 28.84K |
| Lil.Cricket | Yes | 28.67K |
| Infantile-Thunderhead | Yes | 26.83K |
| Hehjeje | Yes | 24.03K |
| Murkiti | Yes | 22.6K |
| alphaunc | Yes | 20.03K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify. The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-and-xi-kiss-at-their-summit
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