
Resolved No on 14 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94.6%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 12 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 70 daily closes on record from 12 Feb 2026 to 14 May 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 29% on 4 Mar 2026 and the lowest 4.7% on 12 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 29% on 4 Mar 2026. $157.84K traded over the market's life.
250 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 15, 6:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 70 points, 12 Feb 2026 – 14 May 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Feb 2026 | 21.5% |
| 14 May 2026 | 5.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 61.72K |
| Acceptable-Quarter | Yes | 10K |
| Jianrio32 | Yes | 5.67K |
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify. If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”. If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only". Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact. If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration. The resolution source will be video footage.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-trump-and-xi-shake-hands-when-they-meet
| Yes |
| 5K |
| P314 | Yes | 2K |
| Viemme | Yes | 2K |
| Mature-Umbrella | Yes | 1.71K |
| HugeSilver | Yes | 1.52K |
| Bountiful-Boatload | Yes | 1.43K |
| AaronW94 | Yes | 1.11K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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