
Resolved No on 18 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 26% on 17 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 17 Jan 2026 to 18 Jan 2026, the highest close was 26% on 17 Jan 2026 and the lowest 1.6% on 18 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 1.6% on 18 Jan 2026. $6.85K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 4:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 17 Jan 2026 – 18 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | 26.0% |
| 18 Jan 2026 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.27K |
| Whispered-Trophy | Yes | 2K |
| Violet Ledger D3FB | Yes | 1K |
| JeyforReal | Yes | 633.52 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Prime Minister of the Slovak Republic Robert Fico between market creation and January 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any handshake recorded between market creation and that date (ET) will qualify. If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by January 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”. If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only". Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact. If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration. The resolution source will be video footage.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-trump-and-slovakia-pm-shake-hands-for-when-they-meet
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 439.22 |
| paspor | Yes | 225.82 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 180.69 |
| yzhaobk | Yes | 164.6 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
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