Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 42.5%. Yes opened at 70% on 4 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 4 Jun 2024 to 28 Jun 2024, the highest close was 70% on 4 Jun 2024 and the lowest 17% on 11 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 39.5% on 5 Jun 2024. $148.6K traded over the market's life.
53 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 29, 7:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 4 Jun 2024 – 28 Jun 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jun 2024 | 70.0% |
| 28 Jun 2024 | 57.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump and Joe Biden shake hands at any point immediately before, during, or immediately after the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle, currently scheduled for June 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No." For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, it must occur within the room that the debate takes place in. The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-and-biden-shake-hands-at-first-debate
| Yes |
| 549.99 |
| alexiscool | Yes | 312.45 |
| Bobbbywang1829 | Yes | 276.69 |
| 182 | Yes | 135.14 |
| jeffy | Yes | 131.81 |
| thatass69 | Yes | 109.2 |
| itssush23 | Yes | 76.81 |
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