Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 90%. Yes opened at 68.5% on 8 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 8 Jan 2026 to 15 Jan 2026, the highest close was 90% on 15 Jan 2026 and the lowest 66% on 12 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 90% on 15 Jan 2026. $44.4K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 16, 4:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 8 Jan 2026 – 15 Jan 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2026 | 68.5% |
| 15 Jan 2026 | 90.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| poopi- | No | 1.81K |
| LindaParker6441 | No | 785 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 201 |
| BQ6xALfz | No | 198 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration publicly releases any files pertaining to Jeffrey Epstein between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any release will qualify, including re-releases, partial releases, unsubstantive materials, or documents whose contents were already known from prior reporting. Qualifying releases must be made by the Executive Branch itself, such as through an official government website, press release, or FOIA reading room. Transmissions solely to courts, Congress, or other non-Executive entities do not qualify unless the Executive Branch subsequently makes the files publicly accessible. The following will not qualify: -Announcements of releases that are not implemented within this market’s timeframe. -Releases made exclusively by courts, Congress or its committees, state or local governments, private entities, or leaks not officially attributable to the Executive Branch. -Leaked, unofficial, or anonymously sourced disclosures. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-admin-release-any-more-epstein-related-files-by-845
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 127 |
| Bruised-Shareholder | No | 100.67 |
| palmplum | No | 100 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 51 |
| tiancs | No | 50 |
| hoshe | No | 36.64 |
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