Will Trump 10% China tariff increase go into effect by Friday?

On February 27, President Donald Trump said he would impose an additional 10% tariff on goods imported from China, effective March 4, 2025 (see: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/27/trump-says-mexico-canada-tariffs-will-start-march-4-plus-additional-10percent-on-china.html). This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect for any amount of time between March 3 and March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-10-china-tariff-increase-go-into-effect-by-friday