Will Trump 10% blanket tariff go into effect by Saturday?

Resolved

Yes, settled Apr 5, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$45.0K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Apr 5, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 5 Apr 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 97.6% on 4 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 4 Apr 2025 to 5 Apr 2025, the highest close was 99.8% on 5 Apr 2025 and the lowest 97.6% on 4 Apr 2025. $45.03K traded over the market's life.

4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 6, 8:03 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 4 Apr 2025 – 5 Apr 2025, chart shows 90%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
4 Apr 2025	97.6%
5 Apr 2025	99.8%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
UnclePhil	No	75.55
GayPride	No	20
Karekken	Yes	0.03
JDULIA	Yes	0.01

4 of 4 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

On April 2, Donald Trump announced a 10% tariff on all imports set to take effect on April 5, 2025 at 12:01 a.m. EDT (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/04/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-declares-national-emergency-to-increase-our-competitive-edge-protect-our-sovereignty-and-strengthen-our-national-and-economic-security/) This market will resolve to “Yes” if the general 10% tariff on all imports into the United States goes into effect for any amount of time between April 2, 2025, and April 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the 10% tariff, as announced by the Trump administration, must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. Only the general 10% tariff applying to all imports into the United States will qualify. For example, tariffs specifically targeting individual countries (e.g., reciprocal tariffs) or specific goods (e.g., autos, steel) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.