What is the “Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on 6 Jan 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning as Prime Minister of Canada or otherwise ceases to be Prime Minister of Canada for any length of time between January 4, and January 8, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning but remains in office to a point outside this market's timeframe, the announcement will still qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Justin Trudeau or the government of Canada, however a consensus of…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

12 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jan 7, 6:27 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trudeau-resign-by-wednesday) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Yes: Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?

Market referencewill-trudeau-resign-by-wednesdayUpdated Jan 7, 2025 UTC

politicsResolved

Yes · settled Jan 6, 2025 UTCtrudeau-outcanada

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$105.4K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jan 6, 2025 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Jan 7, 2025 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Jan 7, 2025 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Yes

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

100%

Yes / No shares

1.18 / 13.05K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

336

Wallets

189

Loaded notional

$39.33K

Yes sell at 99.9%

History rangePrice history unavailable

Points

Move

Range

No price range loaded.

Remaining positions after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side. Not live orderbook depth or current OI.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
rousseauuu	No	9.76K	4.1%	$9.76K	Jan 6, 5:02 AM UTC
crixoule	No	1.28K	11.3%

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Yes on 6 Jan 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning as Prime Minister of Canada or otherwise ceases to be Prime Minister of Canada for any length of time between January 4, and January 8, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning but remains in office to a point outside this market's timeframe, the announcement will still qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Justin Trudeau or the government of Canada, however a consensus of…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

rousseauuu

9.76K

4.1%

$9.76K

Jan 6, 5:02 AM UTC

crixoule

1.28K

11.3%

Trader	Current holding value
opmni333	$1.18
rousseauuu	$0
crixoule	$0
wakeupsid	$0
Kingofthering	$0
Impulse8592	$0
AA42	$0
Flipforfrank	$0
Sidhu1	$0
ogfortis	$0
Adaaa	$0
Bewitched-Sty	$0