Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.7%. Yes opened at 50% on 10 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 10 Jan 2026 to 3 Feb 2026, the highest close was 99.7% on 3 Feb 2026 and the lowest 50% on 10 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 82.5% on 13 Jan 2026. $16.98K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 4, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 10 Jan 2026 – 3 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 3 Feb 2026 | 99.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 366 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 358 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 335 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 193 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tria officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tria (https://x.com/useTria), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-tria-launch-a-token-by
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 182 |
| TENETENET | No | 99.99 |
| t189 | No | 50 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 22 |
| triklozoid | No | 14.99 |
| ffsFsfq | No | 14 |
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