What is the “Will Tria launch a token by December 31, 2026?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Will Tria launch a token by December 31, 2026? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Will Tria launch a token by ___?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?
It resolved Yes on 3 Feb 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tria officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tria (https://x.com/useTria), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Jan 31, 12:00 AM UTC
98.8%
98.8%
Jan 30, 12:00 AM UTC
98.9%
98.9%
Jan 29, 12:00 AM UTC
98.6%
98.6%
Jan 28, 12:00 AM UTC
98.6%
98.6%
Jan 27, 12:00 AM UTC
98.6%
98.6%
Jan 26, 12:00 AM UTC
98.6%
98.6%
Jan 25, 12:00 AM UTC
98.2%
98.2%
Jan 24, 12:00 AM UTC
98.4%
98.4%
Jan 23, 12:00 AM UTC
98.3%
98.3%
Jan 22, 12:00 AM UTC
98.3%
98.3%
Jan 21, 12:00 AM UTC
98.3%
98.3%
Jan 20, 12:00 AM UTC
98.3%
98.3%
Jan 19, 12:00 AM UTC
98.2%
98.2%
Jan 18, 12:00 AM UTC
98.6%
98.6%
Jan 17, 12:00 AM UTC
92.5%
92.5%
Jan 16, 12:00 AM UTC
92.5%
92.5%
Jan 15, 12:00 AM UTC
91.0%
91.0%
Jan 14, 12:00 AM UTC
90.5%
90.5%
Jan 13, 12:00 AM UTC
88.0%
88.0%
Jan 12, 12:00 AM UTC
83.5%
83.5%
Jan 11, 12:00 AM UTC
61.0%
61.0%
Jan 10, 12:00 AM UTC
72.5%
72.5%
Who still holds shares in this market?
10 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Feb 4, 12:25 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-tria-launch-a-token-by) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
