Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 2 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 2 Aug 2024 to 6 Aug 2024, the highest close was 41.5% on 2 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 3.5% on 4 Aug 2024. $8.9K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 7, 1:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 2 Aug 2024 – 6 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2024 | 41.5% |
| 6 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| conditions505 | Yes | 0.07 |
| palennnn20 | No | 0.03 |
| treeokatree90 | Yes | 0.03 |
| dinnerclock | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Resolution source: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt26753003/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trap-gross-more-than-20m-opening-weekend
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| wetrytomakemoney | No | 0.01 |
| peacefulbro | No | 0.01 |
| tuioodo | No | 0.01 |
