Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 86.3%. Yes opened at 15.1% on 29 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 15.1% on 29 Jan 2026 and the low 13.7% on 30 Jan 2026. $343.83 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 30, 4:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 29 Jan 2026 – 30 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 5%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jan 2026 | 15.1% |
| 30 Jan 2026 | 13.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bjprolo | Yes | 50 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 15 |
| rocket661 | Yes | 15 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if TrainwrecksTV opens a Case Hardened AK-47 with Pattern Template #661 in any exterior condition (Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, or Battle-Scarred) during a live stream by January 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, "Case Hardened AK-47 #661" refers to a Counter-Strike 2 AK-47 | Case Hardened skin with Pattern Template Index 661, commonly known as the "Blue Gem" pattern. The pattern index must be verifiable on-screen during the live stream as #661. For the purpose of this market, "Stream" refers to a live video broadcast hosted by TrainwrecksTV. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. For the purpose of this market, "opens" means TrainwrecksTV must personally unbox/open the item from a case and reveal the item during the live stream. Secondary market purchases, trades, or items opened off-stream will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be TrainwrecksTV's Kick channel (https://kick.com/trainwreckstv) and/or Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/trainwreckstv); however, a consensus of credible reporting with video evidence may also be used. If evidence from multiple platforms conflicts, resolution will be based on the clearest complete video record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trainwreckstv-unbox-a-ak-47-case-hardened-661
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