Will Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or?

Name: Will Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

Resolved

No, settled Oct 28, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$4.3M

Resolved

Settled

Oct 28, 2024 UTC

Topic roomBallon d'Or

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	349.1K	0.0%	$0
qrpenc	Yes	10.74K	4.2%	$450.98	Oct 27, 9:18 PM UTC
Tehro	Yes	10K	0.1%	$10	Oct 28, 8:03 PM UTC
snip3r	Yes	8K	0.2%	$16
Vorend	Yes	3.33K	0.3%	$10
pentmoon	Yes	1.5K	0.2%	$3
dopefgh	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Robotik	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
safd	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
10to10000	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Upset-Feeding	Yes	400	0.1%	$0.4	Oct 27, 10:31 PM UTC
BetPolyAlchemist54	Yes	185	0.3%	$0.56
McTereO	Yes	151	0.1%	$0.15
FYNA	Yes	147	0.1%	$0.15
zoraidamuto	Yes	125	0.1%	$0.13
LoseSavings	Yes	123	0.0%	$0
NzeUdeobi	Yes	120	0.1%	$0.12
leafamya	Yes	111	0.1%	$0.11
nazoyo	Yes	101	0.3%	$0.3
mygod	Yes	100	0.3%	$0.3
jettearrance	Yes	96	0.1%	$0.1
ambrosepayne	Yes	74	0.1%	$0.07
Brynejelo	Yes	70	0.2%	$0.14
dulciechapman	Yes	70	0.2%	$0.14
INwhite	Yes	70	0.2%	$0.14
FOLAC	Yes	70	0.2%	$0.14
domikenekoepsell	Yes	65	0.2%	$0.13
boyleg	Yes	65	0.2%	$0.13
slooshor	Yes	65	0.2%	$0.13
Doomwalker	Yes	65	0.2%	$0.13
latimeretai	Yes	65	0.2%	$0.13
SunsetChaser	Yes	65	0.2%	$0.13
Katosha	Yes	55	0.2%	$0.11
gallionlandolfo	Yes	55	0.2%	$0.11
FADAZAKKA	Yes	55	0.2%	$0.11
SomebodyFFF	Yes	50	0.3%	$0.15
slipknotviv	Yes	50	0.2%	$0.1
NAZKA	Yes	50	0.2%	$0.1
Rapid Kestrel 5FF2	Yes	49.97	0.2%	$0.1
Ivory Lynx 9719	Yes	49.42	0.2%	$0.1
Jade Beacon 57F4	Yes	48.62	0.2%	$0.1
Full-Wraparound	Yes	45	0.2%	$0.09	Oct 27, 10:31 PM UTC
Khylia	Yes	45	0.2%	$0.09
Swift Raven 04FE	Yes	42.73	0.2%	$0.09
Quiet Vector 52AF	Yes	39.94	0.2%	$0.08
Lunar Voyager BBED	Yes	39.55	0.2%	$0.08
Ivory Orbit 09F1	Yes	35.7	0.2%	$0.07
aarronaldsmith	Yes	35	0.2%	$0.07
Lunar Scout 943B	Yes	34.76	0.2%	$0.07
Jade Oracle 298F	Yes	34.53	0.2%	$0.07
Coral Scout 7868	Yes	33.94	0.2%	$0.07
lkjkercf	Yes	32.14	0.3%	$0.1
cvfgh	Yes	30.77	0.3%	$0.09
ardasar	Yes	30	0.1%	$0.03	Oct 28, 5:00 PM UTC
merilynlachermeier	Yes	30	0.2%	$0.06
gfddd	Yes	28.51	0.3%	$0.09
PanDuk	Yes	25	0.2%	$0.05
ULYTORYL	Yes	25	0.2%	$0.05
fdghdfg8x	Yes	22.37	0.3%	$0.07
Ivory Signal 2C19	Yes	22.16	0.2%	$0.04
Royal Voyager A48C	Yes	21.98	0.3%	$0.07
Amber Voyager B8F3	Yes	20.99	0.2%	$0.04
Bold Falcon 47C0	Yes	20.32	0.2%	$0.04
VoidHex92	No	10	99.8%	$9.98
djxbskd25	Yes	5	0.3%	$0.02
yosuzume	Yes	5	0.3%	$0.02
zaqte	Yes	5	0.3%	$0.02
Cobalt Voyager 978C	Yes	5	0.3%	$0.02
9F92e84	Yes	5	0.2%	$0.01
loveBERonika	Yes	3.33	0.3%	$0.01
Dmitrybozza	Yes	3	4.2%	$0.12
WkdikF	No	1.33	99.9%	$1.33
bLDA1	No	1.23	99.9%	$1.23
Kiak551	No	1.2	99.9%	$1.2
Kaikara	Yes	0.8	0.4%	$0
g0st	Yes	0.66	0.2%	$0
Late-Ceramics	Yes	0.27	0.3%	$0
asdfqe	Yes	0.19	0.3%	$0
zddddqda	Yes	0.16	0.3%	$0
uhgcfgghjj	Yes	0.15	0.3%	$0
70dfghc	Yes	0.15	0.3%	$0
iytuu	Yes	0.14	0.3%	$0
Cheery-Mushroom	Yes	0.14	0.3%	$0
xaed	Yes	0.13	0.3%	$0
asdfq	Yes	0.13	0.3%	$0
susiseven	Yes	0.13	0.2%	$0
cbvb	Yes	0.13	0.3%	$0
csada	Yes	0.12	0.3%	$0
dghvcb	Yes	0.12	0.3%	$0
ertyt	Yes	0.11	0.3%	$0

90 of 90 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$349.1K
VoidHex92	$10
WkdikF	$1.33

Topic room

Read this market in context

Ballon d'Or oddsWho will win the Ballon d'Or?

Research behind the numbers

Analytics