Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Oct 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 50% on 13 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2023 to 25 Oct 2023, the highest close was 50% on 13 Oct 2023 and the lowest 0.9% on 25 Oct 2023. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 0.9% on 25 Oct 2023. $36.65K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 5:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 13 Oct 2023 – 25 Oct 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2023 | 50.0% |
| 25 Oct 2023 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| displaynameguy | Yes | 120 |
| zhiduox | Yes | 0.08 |
| mumuc | Yes | 0.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-speaker
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