Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 51% on 30 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 51% on 30 Dec 2025 and the lowest 1.4% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 48 points down, to 1.4% on 1 Jan 2026. $47.86K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 51.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 1.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 329 |
| 9735 | Yes | 299.98 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 232 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 154 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person appears live on ABC’s broadcast of Dick Clark’s New Year’s Rockin’ Eve with Ryan Seacrest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Appears live” refers to a live, in-person or remote, visual appearance on-screen during the broadcast. Pictures or videos being shown of the listed person, playing of the listed person’s pre-recorded music, audio-only appearances, or other forms of non-live appearances will not count. A live appearance on any part of the broadcast (excluding commercials) will count. This market is not limited to the Times’ Square or Eastern Time Zone portion of the show. The resolution source for this market will be broadcast footage of Dick Clark’s New Year’s Rockin’ Eve with Ryan Seacrest.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-on-new-years-rockin-eve
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 149.99 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 133 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 124 |
| Gummy-Colloquy | Yes | 105.26 |
| t189 | Yes | 99.94 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 96 |
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