Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 63.5%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 17 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 17 Mar 2026 to 9 Apr 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 66.5% on 2 Apr 2026 and the lowest 40.5% on 17 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 65% on 18 Mar 2026. $78.76K traded over the market's life.
46 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 14, 3:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 17 Mar 2026 – 9 Apr 2026, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2026 | 40.5% |
| 9 Apr 2026 | 63.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| burgerrrr | No | 6.47K |
| Impassioned-Twitter | No | 4.15K |
| GiorgioM | No | 2.36K |
| gopfan2 | No | 2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tisza wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hungary-election-tisza-wins-at-least-seats
| croesus | No | 1.08K |
| AlexPattaya | No | 1.03K |
| MaxCarlo | No | 500 |
| Sven68 | No | 247 |
| Annica-openclaw | No | 221.91 |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 200 |
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