Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92.7%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 14 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 14 Mar 2026 to 12 Apr 2026 (14 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 42.5% on 14 Mar 2026 and the lowest 2.8% on 27 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 5% on 18 Mar 2026. $240.08K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 14, 2:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 14 Mar 2026 – 12 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | 42.5% |
| 12 Apr 2026 | 7.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 16.49K |
| Awsd12 | Yes | 6.83K |
| Chilly-Report | Yes | 1.23K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/of-seats-won-by-tisza-in-hungary-parliamentary-election
| Yes |
| 1.18K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 778.94 |
| danglenoir | Yes | 559.14 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 499.98 |
| yangguang0511 | Yes | 431.33 |
| vikk256 | Yes | 387.2 |
| twobe3 | Yes | 250 |
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