Analytics
Resolved No on 6 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 29 Apr 2025. Before it settled, the high was 10.5% on 29 Apr 2025 and the low 0.1% on 5 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.3 points down, to 1.1% on 30 Apr 2025. $56.11K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 8 points · 29 Apr 2025 – 6 May 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Apr 2025 | 10.5% |
| 6 May 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 26.37K |
| Gambastylr | Yes | 924.05 |
| collectorr | Yes | 755 |
| daroghi | No | 0.01 |
| theamityaff | No | 0.01 |
| dadadabababab | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to how much “Thunderbolts” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Thunderbolts-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 2 - May 4) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by May 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/thunderbolts-opening-weekend-box-office
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