Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 50% on 21 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 108 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2025 to 6 Dec 2025, the highest close was 56.9% on 28 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 26 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 54 points down, to 2.9% on 30 Sep 2025. $33.28K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 6, 2:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 108 points, 21 Aug 2025 – 6 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2025 | 50.0% |
| 6 Dec 2025 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 779 |
| yangguang0511 | Yes | 500 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 267 |
The New York State Gaming Facility Location Board is expected to announce its decision on awarding up to three new casino licenses by December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed project is officially granted a license by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". An announcement alone will not count as a "Yes" resolution; only the issuance of an official license will qualify. This market will resolve to "No" if the granting of such a license becomes impossible for a listed project, for example, if the application is officially declined. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York State Gaming Facility Location Board or another official representative of the State of New York; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-york-casino-licenses
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 173 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 162 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 117 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 102 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 28 |
| twontyfour | Yes | 22.17 |
| Solar Meteor 7A9A | Yes | 18 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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