Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Aug 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 79% on 21 Aug 2023. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2023 to 25 Aug 2023, the highest close was 99.9% on 25 Aug 2023 and the lowest 60.5% on 22 Aug 2023. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 95.3% on 23 Aug 2023. $166.33K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 2:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 21 Aug 2023 – 25 Aug 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2023 | 79.0% |
| 25 Aug 2023 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ElGirniy | No | 3.04 |
| HarvardInsider | No | 1.96 |
| Ivory Oracle 617E | No | 0.96 |
| jikun | No | 0.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is widespread flooding in Los Angeles County as a result of Tropical Storm Hilary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting published before August 23, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. This market may resolve to "Yes" immediately if the resolution criteria are met.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-widespread-flooding-in-la
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