Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 7 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 180 daily closes on record from 7 May 2024 to 2 Nov 2024, the highest close was 84% on 21 Sep 2024 and the lowest 1.9% on 13 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 39% on 29 Sep 2024. $3.62M traded over the market's life.
106 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 3, 4:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 180 points, 7 May 2024 – 2 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 May 2024 | 10.5% |
| 2 Nov 2024 | 3.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 183.56K |
| LoseSavings | Yes | 2.15K |
| 1GEAR | Yes | 419 |
This is a market on the total number of named storms that will occur during the Atlantic Hurricane Season.
Resolution source: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-named-storms-during-atlantic-hurricane-season-2024
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| dmelo | Yes | 374.75 |
| zibrov | Yes | 340.91 |
| Mr.crabz | Yes | 158.95 |
| Several-Phenomenon | Yes | 100 |
| mbgeneva | Yes | 90.91 |
| tuomari | Yes | 88.5 |
| dannyandrey | Yes | 47.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
